Emergent Chance

Citation data:

Philosophical Review, ISSN: 1558-1470, Vol: 124, Issue: 1, Page: 119-152

Publication Year:
2015
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Repository URL:
http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/11342
DOI:
10.1215/00318108-2812670
Author(s):
Christian List, Marcus Pivato
Publisher(s):
Duke University Press
Tags:
Arts and Humanities
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article description
This article offers a new argument for the claim that there can be nondegenerate objective chance in a deterministic world. Using a formal model of the relationship between different levels of description of a system, the article shows how objective chance at a higher level can coexist with its absence at a lower level. Unlike previous arguments for the level-specificity of chance, the present argument shows, in a precise sense, that higher-level chance does not collapse into epistemic probability, despite higher-level properties supervening on lower-level ones. The article demonstrates that the distinction between objective chance and epistemic probability can be drawn, and operationalized, at every level of description. There is, therefore, not a single distinction between objective and epistemic probability but a family of such distinctions.

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