A Proposed Probabilistic Extension of the Halpern and Pearl Definition of 'Actual Cause'

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Fenton-Glynn, Luke
preprint description
In their article 'Causes and Explanations: A Structural-Model Approach. Part I: Causes', Joseph Halpern and Judea Pearl draw upon structural equation models to develop an attractive analysis of 'actual cause'. Their analysis is designed for the case of deterministic causation. I show that their account can be naturally extended to provide an elegant treatment of probabilistic causation.