The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem

Publication Year:
2014
Usage 154
Downloads 154
Repository URL:
http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/12728
Author(s):
Kim, Bryce
preprint description
In this paper, I will examine the representative halfer and thirder solutions to the Sleeping Beauty problem. Then by properly applying the event concept in probability theory and examining similarity of the Sleeping Beauty problem to the Monty Hall problem, it is concluded that the representative thirder solution is wrong and the halfers are right, but that the representative halfer solution also contains a wrong logical conclusion.