A Synthesis of Hempelian and Hypothetico-Deductive Confirmation

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Sprenger, Jan
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This paper synthesizes confirmation by instances and confirmation by successful predictions, and thereby the Hempelian and the hypothetico-deductive traditions in confirmation theory. Our merger of these two approaches solves classical problems such as the tacking paradoxes and the raven paradox and is subsequently extended to the piecemeal confirmation of entire theories. We compare our proposal to rivalling suggestions and discuss its merits and drawbacks, especially vis-à-vis Bayesianism.