Turning Noton's Dome Against Material Induction

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Richard Dawid
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John Norton has proposed a position of “material induction” that denies the existence of a universal inductive inference schema behind scientific reasoning. In this vein, Norton has recently presented a “dome-scenario” based on Newtonian physics that, in his understanding, is at variance with Bayesianism. The present note points out that a closer analysis of the dome-scenario reveals incompatibilities with material inductivism itself.

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