Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble.

Citation data:

Lancet (London, England), ISSN: 1474-547X, Vol: 389, Issue: 10076, Page: 1323-1335

Publication Year:
2017
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PMID:
28236464
DOI:
10.1016/s0140-6736(16)32381-9; 10.1016/ s0140-6736(16)32381-9
Author(s):
Kontis, Vasilis; Bennett, James E; Mathers, Colin D; Li, Guangquan; Foreman, Kyle; Ezzati, Majid
Publisher(s):
Elsevier BV
Tags:
Medicine
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article description
Projections of future mortality and life expectancy are needed to plan for health and social services and pensions. Our aim was to forecast national age-specific mortality and life expectancy using an approach that takes into account the uncertainty related to the choice of forecasting model.