The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?

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Technological Forecasting and Social Change, ISSN: 0040-1625, Vol: 114, Page: 254-280

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Carl Benedikt Frey, Michael A. Osborne
Elsevier BV
Business, Management and Accounting, Psychology
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article description
We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupations probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment.

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Carl Benedikt Frey

Carl Benedikt Frey is a Swedish economist and economic historian. He is Oxford Martin Citi Fellow at Oxford University where he directs the programme on Technology and Employment at the Oxford Martin School His work focuses on technological change, economic development, and st...

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