Human risk assessment of 4-n-nonylphenol (4-n-NP) using physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling: analysis of gender exposure differences and application to exposure analysis related to large exposure variability in population

As a toxic substance, 4-n-nonylphenol (4-n-NP) or 4-nonylphenol (4-NP) is widely present in the environment. 4-n-NP is a single substance with a linear-alkyl side chain, but 4-NP usually refers to a random mixture containing various branched types. Unfortunately, human risk assessment and/or exposure level analysis for 4-n-NP (or 4-NP) were almost nonexistent, and related research was urgently needed. This study aimed to analyze the various exposures of 4-n-NP (or 4-NP) through development of a physiologically based-pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model considering gender difference in pharmacokinetics of 4-n-NP and its application to human risk assessment studies. A PBPK model was newly developed considering gender differences in 4-n-NP pharmacokinetics and applied to a human risk assessment for each gender. Exposure analysis was performed using a PBPK model that considered gender differences in 4-n-NP (or 4-NP) exposure and high variabilities in several countries. Furthermore, an extended application was attempted as a human risk assessment for random mixture 4-NP, which is difficult to accurately evaluate in reality. External-exposure and margin-of-safety estimated with the same internal exposure amount differed between genders, meaning the need for a differentiated risk assessment considering gender. Exposure analysis based on biomonitoring data confirmed large variability in exposure to 4-n-NP (or 4-NP) by country, group, and period. External-exposures estimated using PBPK model varied widely, ranging from 0.039 to 63.875 mg/kg/day (for 4-n-NP or 4-NP). By country, 4-n-NP (or 4-NP) exposure was higher in females than in males and the margin-of-safety tended to be low. Overall, exposure to 4-n-NP (or 4-NP) in populations was largely not safe, suggesting need for ongoing management and monitoring. Considering low in vivo accumulation confirmed by PBPK model, risk reduction of 4-n-NP is possible by reducing its use.