Leveraging a Decade of Landsat-8 Spectral Records for Mapping Blue Carbon Storage in Tidal Salt Marshes

Tidal salt marsh ecosystems are known to accumulate and store large amounts of “blue” carbon, making them an important component of regional carbon cycle processes and a potential target for ecosystem-based carbon crediting efforts. However, blue carbon content in salt marshes can vary substantially at relatively small spatial scales. Understanding spatial variations of blue carbon storage at the landscape or local scale is important for developing carbon inventories, guiding ecological restorations, and informing habitat management strategies. We investigated the potential of spectral index records from the Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager spanning from 2014 to 2023 for mapping blue carbon storage in the soils of two tidal salt marsh systems in the Mid-Atlantic United States. The decadal mean of a non-photosynthetic vegetation index and standard deviations of a normalized difference vegetation index and a modified normalized difference water index were identified as predictors of blue carbon. These predictors were used to train a gradient boosted trees model for predicting soil organic matter content that achieved a testing set r-squared value of 0.67. We estimated that the two study marshes stored a combined 133-208 gigagrams of organic carbon in the top 30 cm of soil. We emphasize the need for better quantification of deep soil carbon in tidal salt marsh systems, which is likely quite high, and demonstrate the potential for satellite-based mapping of blue carbon within individual tidal wetland systems.