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The relationship between propagule pressure and establishment success in alien bird populations: A re-analysis of Moulton & Cropper (2019)

PeerJ, ISSN: 2167-8359, Vol: 2020, Issue: 3, Page: e8766
2020
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Article Description

A recent analysis by Moulton & Cropper (2019) of a global dataset on alien bird population introductions claims to find no evidence that establishment success is a function of the size of the founding population. Here, we re-analyse Moulton & Cropper's data and show that this conclusion is based on flawed statistical methods' their data in fact confirm a strong positive relationship between founding population size and establishment success. We also refute several non-statistical arguments against the likelihood of such an effect presented by Moulton & Cropper. We conclude that a core tenet of population biology-that small populations are more prone to extinction-applies to alien populations beyond their native geographic range limits as much as to native populations within them.

Bibliographic Details

Blackburn, Tim M; Cassey, Phillip; Lockwood, Julie L; Duncan, Richard P

PeerJ

Neuroscience; Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology; Agricultural and Biological Sciences

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