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Preventing COVID-19 Fatalities: State versus Federal Policies

SSRN, ISSN: 1556-5068
2020
  • 1
    Citations
  • 2,522
    Usage
  • 9
    Captures
  • 1
    Mentions
  • 48
    Social Media
Metric Options:   Counts1 Year3 Year

Metrics Details

  • Citations
    1
    • Citation Indexes
      1
  • Usage
    2,522
    • Abstract Views
      2,353
    • Downloads
      169
  • Captures
    9
  • Mentions
    1
    • News Mentions
      1
      • News
        1
  • Social Media
    48
    • Shares, Likes & Comments
      48
      • Facebook
        48
  • Ratings
    • Download Rank
      354,516

Most Recent News

New Study on Preventing COVID-19 Fatalities: State versus Federal Policies.

New data-analysis research quantifies COVID-19 transmissibility and the cost of not enacting the best COVID-19 prevention measures. SANTA CLARA, Calif. , Nov. 12, 2020—Politicians and

Article Description

Are COVID-19 fatalities large when a federal government does not enforce containment policies and instead allow states to implement their own policies? We answer this question by developing a stochastic extension of a SIRD epidemiological model for a country composed of multiple states. Our model allows for interstate mobility. We consider three policies: mask mandates, stay-at-home orders, and interstate travel bans. We fit our model to daily U.S. state-level COVID-19 death counts and exploit our estimates to produce various policy counterfactuals. While the restrictions imposed by some states inhibited a significant number of virus deaths, we find that more than two-thirds of U.S. COVID-19 deaths could have been prevented by late November 2020 had the federal government enforced federal mandates as early as some of the earliest states did. Our results quantify the benefits of early actions by a federal government for the containment of a pandemic.

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